TOP SECRET -COPYTOP SECRET Military Division, British Middle East Office, JIC/175/ME c/o General Headquarters, MIDDLE EAST LAND FORCES. 8th June, 1949 The Secretary, Joint Intelligence Committee, Ministry of Defence, Storey's Gate, LONDON S.W.1. THE REFUGEE PROBLEM LIKELY TO ARISE IN THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN AND THE MIDDLE EAST IN THE EVENT OF WAR WITH RUSSIA 1. I am instructed to reply to your letter JIC/883 dated 16th May, 1949 and to state that the estimate of the numbers of refugees from GREECE was calculated by the Political Section of H.M.