ANNEX SECRET C.I.S. 27 15TH JUNE, 1945 ESTIMATE OF THE ENEMY SITUATION Reference: C.I.C. 47/1/D THE PROBLEM 1. To estimate the Japanese situation and intentions. SUMMARY 2. The geographical situation. (The effect of the Allied advance in the Western Pacific in bringing the Home Islands under air attack and threat of invasion, and in cutting them off from the Southern Areas and in some degree from the Continent. The vulnerability of Japan to attack from Siberia.) 3. The economic situation. (See Appendix "A") 4.