(e) A considerable tonnage is entering RANGOON in small coasters. The Japanese require this tonnage both in the dry and monsoon seasons. (f) If the sea route to JAPAN is out the establishment of the CHINA-FIC rail link, which is itself extremely vulnerable, will be the only source of supply to the forces in S.E. Asia. Supplies over this route, taken in conjunction with the supplies already in the theatre, would enable the Japanese to continue fighting on the same scale as at present for a considerable time.