S E C R E T E N C L O S U R E PROSPECTS OF A GERMAN COLLAPSE OR SURRENDER (As of 21st November 1944) Report by the Combined Intelligence Committee THE PROBLEM 1. To review the principal factors bearing on German surrender or the collapse of German resistance and to estimate the form which such an event is likely to take and the time when it is likely to occur. DISCUSSION 2. See Appendix. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 3. Germany has succeeded for the present in establishing cohesive fronts in the East and West, though her position in Southeast Europe has deteriorated.