War against Japan - Scales of Opposition 1945 - 1946 Note by Sec.

Secretary, British J.I.C. Washington ANNEX DRAFT Your FENDERS 10 and 13. We have made the additional assumption that the scale of Chinese resistance remains substantially unchanged. 2. In J.I.C. (44) 186, we appreciated Japanese strategy and possible dispositions up to the early Spring of 1945 and included an estimate of Japanese reactions to an Allied assault on the Philippines and Formosa. Thereafter while Japanese strategy would remain fundamentally defensive, she would be prepared to risk larger forces than previously for counterattacking Allied assaulting forces, though she would probably not commit her fleet until Japan itself was invaded.