7. The following estimates are largely conjectural and subject to revision in the light of any later information which may become available concerning Japanese intentions and movement of forces. FORMOSA 8. (a) Naval Forces The Japanese navybeing disposed across the flank of the Allied assault convoys, would be in a strong position to attack them. In view of the paramount importance of Formosa as appreciated in paragraph 3 above, the Japanese navy would probably risk battle unless it had been severely mauled in earlier operations.