however, that the Germans succeed during the winter campaign in Russia in avoiding crippling losses and are not driven back to the East Prussian and Roumanian frontiers they might, after the "Overlord" assault, transfer a few, possibly five, divisions, from the Russian front, if they felt that these would turn the scale in the West. 9. Mediterranean and S.E. Europe. In the spring of 1944 Germany will be faced in Italy with steady pressure from a strong Allied force. She will appreciate that the Allies have a substantial amount of assault shipping in the Mediterranean and that an attack in this theatre is likely in support of "Overlord".