previous opinions as to the likelihood of an Italian collapse. Such a collapse is more likely to start an the home front, where morale will almost certainly be lower than in the armed forces. The morale of the home front will be seriously affected by Italian defeats in the field and by our air bombardment; it will also be affected by other things, such as economic and food conditions, civil disorganisation and the general feeling that a prolongation of the war can only bring further useless suffering without hope of advantage.