Paragraph 5 We think that the Germans while devoting their main effort to Russia will attempt, in the South, to hold the island line, Corsica Sardinia Sicily Crete Dodecanese, as defensive outposts to the "fortress of Europe" and, in the west, hold the coast with, if necessary, reduced garrisons. Paragraph 6 (a) The statement that the commitments of the United nations in North Africa permitted the transfer of divisions from France to Russia seems an over simplification. The Germans were forced to transfer troops to Russia in order to meet the threat of disaster there; they would in any case probably have had to take some risk in the West and were the more able to do so because the season was unfavourable for cross-Channel operations and because they had seen the main effort of the United Nations directed to North Africa.