The Eastern Axis Oil Position. Note by Secretary

3. To meet her annual requirements for black oil and aviation gasoline Japan must therefore obtain from crude oils produced in the East Indies about 28,000,000 barrels of black oil and, in round figures, some 2,000,000 to 3,000,000 barrels of aviation gasoline. Japanese requirements for motor gasoline and kerosene can be met from the sources mentioned in the preceding paragraph. 4. Although there is very little definite intelligence as to the extent to which Japan has been able to obtain oil from the East Indies to meet her requirements, it is estimated by experts familiar with that area that only about 11,000,000 barrels of such crude oil were secured during 1942, that about 55,000,000 barrels will be available during 1943, and that after the middle of 1943 crude oil production will remain constant at a rate of about 60,000,000 barrels a year.