9. In the North: Japan no doubt wishes to obtain strategic security in the north by seizing the maritime provinces. It would clearly be to Germany's immediate advantage to persuade the Japanese to do so at the same time as she renewed her offensive against the Red Army. This would be an obvious opportunity for Japan to attack, as Russia would then be fully extended. Japan, however, will probably choose her own time. She will almost certainly attack Russia if she believes her about to be defeated by Germany.