2. It is not considered that the Axis forces in Libya could be adequately reinforced or have built up sufficient supplies for a major offensive by the middle of October. It is thought, therefore, that any operation contemplated is likely to be of a limited nature and may be designed for the capture of Tobruk. In spite of the mention of the 15th October in one report, the possibility of an operation earlier than this cannot be ruled out. 3. The attached Annex shows the position of the Axis forces in Cyrenaica, the scale of attack which might be brought to bear against Tobruk if the enemy preparations are, in fact.