|Document Title||1. Possibility of Russian Armed Action Against Yugoslavia; 2. Yugoslavia - Arms Requirements; 3. Encouragement of Deserters and Disposal of Defectors and Deserters.|
|Document Date||4 November 1949|
|Themes||Military Intelligence and Operations, Foreign Policy and International Relations, Intelligence Operations|
|Countries||Germany, Hungary, Romania, Russia, Soviet Union, Yugoslavia|
|Document Type||Meeting Minutes|
|Organisations||Chiefs of Staff, Commonwealth Relations Office, Foreign Office, Joint Intelligence Bureau, Joint Intelligence Committee (Germany), Joint Intelligence Staff, Ministry of Defence, Security Service, Joint Intelligence Sub-Committee|
|People||Valentine Boucher, John Gardiner, William Hayter, Guy Liddell, Stewart Menzies, Lawrence Pendred, Percy Sillitoe, Kenneth Strong|
Soviet-Yugoslav relations, diplomatic disputes, invasion threat, threat of war with the USSR, contingency planning, predicting enemy intentions, foreign policy, Yugoslav foreign policy, military supplies, armaments, weapons trade, equipment, military intelligence, deserters, defectors, intelligence channels, intelligence gathering, subversion, propaganda, recruitment
1. Conduct of the Work of the Committee; 2. Reports on Communism; 3. The Likelihood of War with the Soviet Union and the Date by Which the Soviet Leaders Might Be Prepared to Risk It; 4. Soviet Use of Atomic Bombs; 5. Threat to Yugoslavia; 6. Implications of the Soviet Union Regaining Control of Yugoslavia; 7. Russian Preparedness for War
1. Yugoslav Service Attache in London; 2. Meeting with the Joint Intelligence Staff; 3. Strategic Implications of a Break with the Chinese Government; 4. Soviet Intentions and Capabilities - Long Term Appreciation; 5. Work in Hand by the Joint Intelligence Staff; 6. Intelligence Division, C.C.G. - Report by Sir Philip Vickery; 7. Russian Knowledge of Western Union and North Atlantic Treaty Organisation Plans; 8. Threat to Yugoslavia; 9. Views of a German Ex-Staff Officer on Russia and Probable Russian Strategy
1. Meeting Arrangements; 2. France; 3. Supply of Aircraft to Venezuela; 4. Defections from Staffs of His Majesty's Embassies and British Council Offices in the Soviet Union and Satellite Countries; 5.; 6. Encouragement of Soviet and Satellite Defectors and Deserters; 7. Visit of Joint Military/air Attache, China, to Australia; 8. Visit of Chairman, Joint Scientific and Joint Technical Intelligence Committees to the Far East; 9. A Certain Report on Soviet General Strategy; 10. Clanestine Sabotage; 11. Threat to Yugoslavia; 12. Russian Preparedness for War; 13. Implications of Open War between India and Pakistan
1. The Likelihood of War with the Soviet Union and the Date at Which the Soviet Leaders Might Be Prepared to Risk It; 2. Review of Situation in Asia; 3. Implications of the Soviet Union Regaining Control of Yugoslavia; 4. Value of Certain Extractors to the Russians; 5. Soviet Intentions in Berlin; 6. Intelligence Guidance for North Atlantic Regional Planning
1. Russian Preparedness for War; 2. Meeting with the Joint Intelligence Staff A. Russian Activity (Other than Overt Propaganda) Intended to Promote a Policy of Subversion. B. Reports on Russian Scale and Nature of Attack for 1957. C. The Possibility of the Soviet Union Making War on Yugoslavia in Order to Regain Complete Control. D. The Availability and Utilisation of Russian and Satellite Skilled Manpower. E. The Possibility of the Soviet Union Reaching a High State of Readiness for War Behind the Iron Curtain Without the Western Powers Being Aware of It. F. Periodical Revision of "Soviet Interests, Capabilities and Intentions - J.I.C. (48) 9 (Final). G. Exchange of Views with the United States; 3. A Certain Report about the Middle East; 4. Supply of Arms to Palestine; 5. Communist Influence in the African Continent
1. Exchange of Information with Yugoslavia; 2. Intelligence for S.H.A.P.E.; 3. Military Implications of the Entry of British Forces into Persian Territory; 4. Invasion of Te United Kingdom, 1951-1952; 5. Liaison Between United States and United Kingdom Intelligence Organisations; 6. Study by the E.M.M.O. Regional Planning Group of the Association of Turkey and Greece with N.A.T.O. Military Planning; 7. Review of the Situation Round the Soviet and Satellite Perimeter; 8. Information on Formosa; 9. Acquisition of Merchant Shipping by Soviet and Satellite Countries; 10. J.I.C. Weekly Intelligence Review (Europe) for S.H.A.P.E.
1. Possibility of Russian Armed Action Against Yugoslavia; 2. The Implications of a Communist Success in China; 3. Scale and Nature of Attack on the United Kingdom by V.1 and V.2 Type Weapons - 1949/51; 4. Re-assessment of Russian Potential in the Field of Defence Research and Development; 5. Encouragement of Deserters.
1. Russian Preparedness for War; 2. Exchange of Views with the United States; 3. Situation in South China; 4. The Use of Atomic Bombs in a War Against the Soviet Union; 5. Chairman, Joint Intelligence Committee, Far East; 6. Policy and Procedure for Handling Political Refugees of Intelligence Value; 7. Possibility of Russian Armed Action Against Yugoslavia; 8. Communist Propaganda in Africa; 9. Visit by Head of the Joint Intelligence Bureau, Canada.