1. Meeting with Mr. A.D.F. Gascoigne, H.M. Political Representative in Tokyo; 2. Soviet Interests, Intentions and Capabilities; 3. The Effect of Russian Personalities on the Likelihood of War; 4. Russian Preparedness for War; 5. Measures to Prevent Russia Obtaining Strategical Surprise; 6. Scale of Air Attack on the United Kingdom in the near Future; 7. Yugoslav - Cominform Dispute; 8. Movement of Certain Troops in Central Europe

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1. Meeting with Mr. A.D.F. Gascoigne, H.M. Political Representative in Tokyo; 2. Soviet Interests, Intentions and Capabilities; 3. The Effect of Russian Personalities on the Likelihood of War; 4. Russian Preparedness for War; 5. Measures to Prevent Russia Obtaining Strategical Surprise; 6. Scale of Air Attack on the United Kingdom in the near Future; 7. Yugoslav - Cominform Dispute; 8. Movement of Certain Troops in Central Europe

1 Jan 1948

3. THE EFFECT OF RUSSIAN PERSONALITIES ON THE LIKELIHOOD OF WAR. (Previous reference: J.I.C.(48) 71st Meeting (0) Minute 4). MR. HAYTER referred to their previous meeting on this subject when the Foreign Office had been invited to consider the effect of Russian personalities on the likelihood of war. This matter had now been considered in the Foreign Office and their views were as follows :There were two possible "jealousies" in this affair. Zhdanov, or both Zhdanov and Molotov, might well be jealous of Tito who had more prestige outside Russia than any member of the Soviet Politburo, or even possibly than Stalin himself.
united kingdom strategy russia air warfare colonies communism malaya foreign policy ideology international relations politicians soviet union yugoslavia cold war contingency planning mobilisation defence political dissent military operations military intelligence empire security service secret intelligence service subversion soviet foreign policy soviet satellite states diplomatic officials diplomatic disputes ministry of defence william hayter joint intelligence staff joint intelligence sub-committee john gardiner chiefs of staff foreign office war preparations stewart menzies intelligence reports joint planning staff lawrence pendred joint intelligence bureau percy sillitoe threat of war with the ussr communist information bureau kenneth strong air raid precautions military strength predicting enemy intentions geographic intelligence josef stalin assessing enemy strength douglas packard joint intelligence committee (far east) surprise attacks soviet government soviet-yugoslav relations
Collection ID
CAB159
Conflict
Cold War
Countries
Malaya Russia Soviet Union United Kingdom Yugoslavia
Document Reference
CAB 159/4/12
Document Types
Summary
File Reference
CAB 159/4
Identifier
10.1080/swwf.cab159.0004.012
Keywords
Diplomatic Officials Soviet Foreign Policy Assessing Enemy Strength Predicting Enemy Intentions Contingency Planning Threat Of War With The Ussr Communism Soviet Government Ideology Intelligence Reports Politicians War Preparations Mobilisation Strategy Surprise Attacks Defence Air Raid Precautions Air Warfare Soviet-yugoslav Relations Diplomatic Disputes Soviet Satellite States Foreign Policy Military Intelligence Geographic Intelligence Military Strength Military Operations Empire Colonies Subversion Political Dissent
Languages
English
Organizations
Chiefs of Staff Communist Information Bureau Foreign Office Joint Intelligence Bureau Joint Intelligence Committee (Far East) Joint Intelligence Staff Joint Planning Staff Ministry of Defence Secret Intelligence Service Security Service Joint Intelligence Sub-Committee
Pages
6
Persons Discussed
John Gardiner William Hayter Stewart Menzies Douglas Packard Lawrence Pendred Percy Sillitoe Josef Stalin Kenneth Strong
Published in
United Kingdom
Series
Ministry of Defence and Cabinet Office: Central Intelligence Machinery: Joint Intelligence Sub-Committee Later Committee: Minutes (JIC Series). Joint Intelligence Committee. Meetings 63 (0)-142
Themes
Military Intelligence International Relations

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