TOP SECRET by economic and political pressure. They are already fost unrest; as a result of trade restrictions imposed by both sides unemployment is increasing. Should the United Nations extend hostilities in the Far East, China would almost certainly retaliate against Hong Kong, at first possibly by cutting off food supplies and mining approaches. 5. Communist Intentions The Communists wish to eliminate western influence in South East Asia. We think, however, that they will prefer to try to get control by indirect means rather than by open aggression.