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Situation in South China. General Situation as at 9.8.49

1 Jul 1949

TOP SECRET 3. We estimate that no substantial Communist forces are likely to arrive in the Canton area before the beginning of September, or before the end of September at the borders of the Leased Territories. From the military point of view it is unlikely that any possible threat to the Colony would arise until the greater part of Kwantung province has been brought under control. This is unlikely to be effective before the latter half of October. Naval situation. 4. The Nationalist blockade in the Yangtze continues to be effective, though one small British coaster under Chinese charter (S.S.
china politics economy hong kong colonies communism foreign policy international relations cold war contingency planning defence military intelligence military supplies empire morale battles soviet foreign policy blockades ministry of defence william hayter joint intelligence sub-committee chiefs of staff imperial defence lawrence pendred kenneth strong military strength predicting enemy intentions geographic intelligence assessing enemy strength military situation reports valentine boucher chinese army soviet-chinese relations chinese civil war
Collection ID
CAB158
Conflict
Cold War
Countries
China
Document Reference
CAB 158/7/12
Document Types
Report Memorandum
File Reference
CAB 158/7
Identifier
10.1080/swwf.cab158.0007.012
Keywords
Foreign Policy Chinese Civil War Hong Kong Empire Colonies Imperial Defence Defence Military Intelligence Communism Geographic Intelligence Contingency Planning Predicting Enemy Intentions Battles Military Strength Assessing Enemy Strength Chinese Army Military Situation Reports Economy Blockades Soviet-chinese Relations Soviet Foreign Policy Politics Military Supplies Morale
Languages
English
Organizations
Chiefs of Staff Ministry of Defence Joint Intelligence Sub-Committee
Pages
5
Persons Discussed
Valentine Boucher William Hayter Lawrence Pendred Kenneth Strong
Published in
United Kingdom
Series
Ministry of Defence and Cabinet Office: Central Intelligence Machinery: Joint Intelligence Sub-Committee: Memoranda (JIC Series). Joint Intelligence Committee: Memoranda 42-70
Themes
International Relations Military Intelligence

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